Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.219766 0.260672 0.306498 0.361555 0.425823 0.498387 0.586443
2025-05-25 0.150602 0.200469 0.262496 0.344981 0.451427 0.583762 0.760319
2025-06-01 0.119261 0.172943 0.245071 0.348367 0.491679 0.682526 0.954804
2025-06-08 0.093846 0.146338 0.221609 0.336300 0.505268 0.743372 1.102187
2025-06-15 0.080578 0.133758 0.214388 0.343905 0.544647 0.841274 1.309180
2025-06-22 0.068943 0.121196 0.204555 0.345020 0.572920 0.924303 1.501620
2025-06-29 0.058492 0.108511 0.192195 0.339629 0.589170 0.989263 1.671586
2025-07-06 0.050110 0.097794 0.181210 0.334405 0.604074 1.052334 1.843462
2025-07-13 0.046019 0.093999 0.181360 0.347859 0.651344 1.172172 2.119554
2025-07-20 0.043932 0.093568 0.187309 0.372096 0.719721 1.333730 2.481349
2025-07-27 0.040957 0.090882 0.188593 0.387635 0.773711 1.474856 2.820032
2025-08-03 0.036770 0.085028 0.182922 0.388990 0.801054 1.570319 3.084820
2025-08-10 0.031408 0.076093 0.170467 0.376565 0.802939 1.623687 3.286470
2025-08-17 0.026306 0.066854 0.156093 0.358412 0.791634 1.651756 3.445211
2025-08-24 0.023685 0.062838 0.152253 0.361857 0.824629 1.768925 3.788563
2025-08-31 0.020303 0.056338 0.141848 0.349346 0.822141 1.814375 3.992426
2025-09-07 0.018693 0.053973 0.140579 0.357227 0.864704 1.956180 4.406945
2025-09-14 0.016876 0.050722 0.136687 0.358383 0.892210 2.068735 4.770485
2025-09-21 0.014932 0.046745 0.130379 0.352795 0.903402 2.146929 5.067320
2025-09-28 0.013245 0.043156 0.124492 0.347381 0.914226 2.225119 5.371210
2025-10-05 0.012585 0.042458 0.126102 0.361325 0.973575 2.418549 5.951410
2025-10-12 0.012405 0.043188 0.131689 0.386443 1.063473 2.690680 6.735627
2025-10-19 0.011868 0.042703 0.133823 0.402544 1.132258 2.919375 7.438457